A Distributional Analysis of Federal Carbon Pricing under A Healthy Environment and A Healthy Economy

This report provides a distributional analysis of federal carbon pricing under the Government’s A Healthy Environment and A Healthy Economy plan.

April 17, 2024: Estimates of the economic impacts presented in this report (Table 3-1) reflect the implementation of federal-equivalent carbon pricing at the national level. The counterfactual scenario used in the report reflects the broad removal of carbon pricing—that is, the removal of the federal-equivalent fuel charge and output-based pricing system (OBPS). Estimates of household net costs incorporating “fiscal and economic impacts” reflect the broad economic impact of federal-equivalent carbon pricing.

April 17 2024 Additional Analysis

July 4, 2024: Text in the March 24, 2022 version of this report was revised to ensure consistency with the economic impact of federal-equivalent carbon pricing (that is, the fuel charge and output-based pricing system). Estimates of economic impacts and household costs have not been revised.